MTB Tech Rumors and Innovation

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TEAMROBOT
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4/11/2025 9:58am Edited Date/Time 4/11/2025 10:03am
Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuff

Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuffimage 273.png?VersionId=P.8xAw.6PbgMnVV

This looks like a good way to get rid of the vulnerable pull link that was hanging out under the BB on the last version of the Demo prototype. But I'm surprised to hear it has "pretty high anti-rise," and I'm also curious what numbers you think are pretty high, aka above or below 100%

Specialized has been on the very very low AR program for a long time, in the 40-60% range on the Demo, Enduro, and Stumpjumper for years and years. I would be shocked if they went above 100% on the new Demo, and that would represent a big change in suspension philosophy for them.

5
whitesq
Posts
74
Joined
8/1/2014
Location
FC, CO US
4/11/2025 10:04am
Etney wrote:
Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)Pic borrowed from the pink site

Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)

Pic borrowed from the pink site
31fc0f259a3010a5c8e6fdefeb87daef 0.jpg?VersionId=lGN4DkcPvBlrXuWQyrrvAgKOsQ6Y

TEAMROBOT wrote:
I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add...

I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add torsional stiffness. The patent is expired and it adds almost no weight. I imagine a 15mm hex axle is significantly stiffer in torsion than a round 20mm axle, and doesn't require a new front hub. Especially if you're already doing pinch bolts, you can do it the way the Dorado has been doing it since 2002? It's so simple!

Manitou Axles - S4 Suspension

We'd finally settled on Boost 15mm as a trail bike front hub, and now it's blowing up again. Sigh.

As somebody who's tested this variable back to back on the same chassis (not two totally different forks), the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. 

Maybe we need to do a fork stiffness deep dive like the excellent frame compliance analysis Burney did. But in short, forks also have roll and wag. Everyone usually thinks of only wag and they test it with the wheel between the legs, but I'd argue this is only a valid indicator of stiffness during full braking on dry pavement. In this situation, the hex axle can offer a small benefit in reducing wag, but in actual on trail braking the wag isn't as severe and therefore the benefits didn't out weight the complexity of that design. 

If we really want to have a conversation about on trail stiffness and compliance of modern USD forks, roll would really be the focus.   

8
4/11/2025 10:12am
Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuff

Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuffimage 273.png?VersionId=P.8xAw.6PbgMnVV

TEAMROBOT wrote:
This looks like a good way to get rid of the vulnerable pull link that was hanging out under the BB on the last version of...

This looks like a good way to get rid of the vulnerable pull link that was hanging out under the BB on the last version of the Demo prototype. But I'm surprised to hear it has "pretty high anti-rise," and I'm also curious what numbers you think are pretty high, aka above or below 100%

Specialized has been on the very very low AR program for a long time, in the 40-60% range on the Demo, Enduro, and Stumpjumper for years and years. I would be shocked if they went above 100% on the new Demo, and that would represent a big change in suspension philosophy for them.

Starting between 60-80, but without a measuring tape, some callipers and the bike in hand I'm afraid it's just my guess. I keep churning results of about 40-50% progression out which can't be right either.

3
TEAMROBOT
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Fantasy
4/11/2025 10:12am Edited Date/Time 4/11/2025 10:13am
Primoz wrote:
Not exactly a billion, more like 5 ish times at most (1 to 2 percent losses with a chain, 5 to 10 percent with meshed cogs). One...

Not exactly a billion, more like 5 ish times at most (1 to 2 percent losses with a chain, 5 to 10 percent with meshed cogs). 

One thing to note, using two chains in series inside a gearbox will still lower the efficiency compared to a straight chain in a single speed layout by 3 times as you add two loss generating components besides the original one. Are losses on a standard cassette drivetrain higher than a single speed layout due to the chain bending? Yes. Higher than having two additional chain drives? Possibly not, though not sure. Also depends on the lubrication strategy of course. 

Yes, the more cogs and chains you include, the more efficiency loss. IIRC the lion’s share of efficiency losses in a chain-drive are from internal friction in the rollers in the chain as they spin under a torque load as they initially contact and then release from the teeth on chainring and cassette. The more load-bearing chains and cogs you have, the more friction. So we're in agreement on that.

But, as you pointed out, there’s also a lot of friction in a chain-drive multi-gear drivetrain from cross-chaining at an angle, which is especially egregious on a modern 1x12 drivetrain. The chain has to do some crazy stuff to get from a 32 tooth chainring (and 55mm chainline, which positions the chainring extra far outboard) and then get all the way back to a 12-speed 52 tooth cog that’s super inboard.

And, as always, in a sealed environment you can also count on consistent lubrication without external contamination, which counts for a lot in mountain biking. I don't know if the new Praxis gearbox will actually work in reality, if it's reliable or efficient but, to my eyes, it's the first plausible gearbox design I've seen.

3
1
4/11/2025 10:12am
whitesq wrote:
As somebody who's tested this variable back to back on the same chassis (not two totally different forks), the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. Maybe we need...

As somebody who's tested this variable back to back on the same chassis (not two totally different forks), the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. 

Maybe we need to do a fork stiffness deep dive like the excellent frame compliance analysis Burney did. But in short, forks also have roll and wag. Everyone usually thinks of only wag and they test it with the wheel between the legs, but I'd argue this is only a valid indicator of stiffness during full braking on dry pavement. In this situation, the hex axle can offer a small benefit in reducing wag, but in actual on trail braking the wag isn't as severe and therefore the benefits didn't out weight the complexity of that design. 

If we really want to have a conversation about on trail stiffness and compliance of modern USD forks, roll would really be the focus.   

In theory, if your pinch bolts don't ever slip then the torsional rigidity added by the axle would be a function of OD and ID. All the hex buys you is the assurance that it can never slip.

12
4/11/2025 10:22am
Etney wrote:
Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)Pic borrowed from the pink site

Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)

Pic borrowed from the pink site
31fc0f259a3010a5c8e6fdefeb87daef 0.jpg?VersionId=lGN4DkcPvBlrXuWQyrrvAgKOsQ6Y

TEAMROBOT wrote:
I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add...

I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add torsional stiffness. The patent is expired and it adds almost no weight. I imagine a 15mm hex axle is significantly stiffer in torsion than a round 20mm axle, and doesn't require a new front hub. Especially if you're already doing pinch bolts, you can do it the way the Dorado has been doing it since 2002? It's so simple!

Manitou Axles - S4 Suspension

We'd finally settled on Boost 15mm as a trail bike front hub, and now it's blowing up again. Sigh.

whitesq wrote:
As somebody who's tested this variable back to back on the same chassis (not two totally different forks), the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. Maybe we need...

As somebody who's tested this variable back to back on the same chassis (not two totally different forks), the juice wasn't worth the squeeze. 

Maybe we need to do a fork stiffness deep dive like the excellent frame compliance analysis Burney did. But in short, forks also have roll and wag. Everyone usually thinks of only wag and they test it with the wheel between the legs, but I'd argue this is only a valid indicator of stiffness during full braking on dry pavement. In this situation, the hex axle can offer a small benefit in reducing wag, but in actual on trail braking the wag isn't as severe and therefore the benefits didn't out weight the complexity of that design. 

If we really want to have a conversation about on trail stiffness and compliance of modern USD forks, roll would really be the focus.   

4
whitesq
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Joined
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Location
FC, CO US
4/11/2025 10:24am
In theory, if your pinch bolts don't ever slip then the torsional rigidity added by the axle would be a function of OD and ID. All...

In theory, if your pinch bolts don't ever slip then the torsional rigidity added by the axle would be a function of OD and ID. All the hex buys you is the assurance that it can never slip.

100%

1
sethimus
Posts
879
Joined
9/20/2014
Location
CH
4/11/2025 10:27am
luisgutrod wrote:
cool video.. now go ride down a mellow gradient street, reach 30-40 km/h and pull front brake while watching the alignment of the front wheel and...

cool video.. now go ride down a mellow gradient street, reach 30-40 km/h and pull front brake while watching the alignment of the front wheel and your stem ; ) (and take a video) zero fore-aft but some torsional flex due to the way the braking affects the system.. I never checked on conventional fork, but had an issue with a broken fender on my edge and paid attention to this as it was crooked and then saw the flex.. anyways.. fantastic forks, I have 2 USDs..

ballz wrote:

To be fair, RSU trail forks flex quite a bit during hard braking as well. 

more than an USD, the exact behavior is what makes them generate more grip while braking and thus braking fast while the suspension is still working instead of binding

2
whitesq
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Location
FC, CO US
4/11/2025 10:54am

Forgot about that and props to Primoz, it is an insightful post. However, it is only looking at wag and not roll. If he did include roll, I'd venture to guess the results would be similar though, the USD is not as stiff as a RSD. But the nuance of the whole game is what is the right amount of flex/stiffness/compliance? 

4
matmattmatthew
Posts
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Location
Fresh Prince of Bel Air, MD US
4/11/2025 11:21am

Cane creek joins the upside down party. 

22
4/11/2025 11:59am
Cane creek joins the upside down party. 

Cane creek joins the upside down party. 

Floating bushings in this one perhaps??

Carraig042
Posts
70
Joined
3/4/2013
Location
Jonesborough, TN US
4/11/2025 12:18pm
Cane creek joins the upside down party. 

Cane creek joins the upside down party. 

With a 15mm hex axle.

 

6
4/11/2025 12:38pm
Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuff

Here is what I drew up, it has a pretty high anti-rise, axle path is rearwards for around 2/3rds of the travel. all the fun stuffimage 273.png?VersionId=P.8xAw.6PbgMnVV

To me it looks like the foam model of whats probably going to be the next Enduro, rather than this high pivot. 

What will be interesting is how they try to ebike that design- neither yours, the foam model, or the patent fillings have enough room for a motor. 

3
4/11/2025 12:46pm
To me it looks like the foam model of whats probably going to be the next Enduro, rather than this high pivot. What will be interesting is...

To me it looks like the foam model of whats probably going to be the next Enduro, rather than this high pivot. 

What will be interesting is how they try to ebike that design- neither yours, the foam model, or the patent fillings have enough room for a motor. 

This one looked like a motor was possible.

OBB-non-Idler
3
1
4/11/2025 1:01pm
chriskief wrote:

Those cranks look very short. Maybe 5DEV?

No chance they are 5DEV, Loic wants to get to the end of a run with 2 crank arms!

16
1
B Rabbit
Posts
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Location
Sydney, NSW AU
4/11/2025 1:39pm
Possibly related, in the recent MBR video about the new Levo, there is this foam model next to the one of the designer's desks: In the (possibly...

Possibly related, in the recent MBR video about the new Levo, there is this foam model next to the one of the designer's desks:

IMG 7621 0IMG 7622 0

 

In the (possibly relevant) rendering above the models, it looks to be a bike with a single crown:

IMG 7621 detail 0.jpg?VersionId=BUYvMbQJSjkhiF

 

Yes yes yes!!! 
Finally some movement on the new Enduro! Maybe it’s not too far away. Spesh always strategically place some Easter eggs in their videos, nice catch! 

4
1
4/11/2025 1:43pm
B Rabbit wrote:
Yes yes yes!!! Finally some movement on the new Enduro! Maybe it’s not too far away. Spesh always strategically place some Easter eggs in their videos, nice...

Yes yes yes!!! 
Finally some movement on the new Enduro! Maybe it’s not too far away. Spesh always strategically place some Easter eggs in their videos, nice catch! 

The foam mockup reminds me of a skid steer arm haha

4/11/2025 5:07pm

Yeah, gonna be a big shock tunnel for an enduro bike, that's he first thing spec should improve.

1
4/11/2025 5:30pm
Etney wrote:
Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)Pic borrowed from the pink site

Fox USD fork confirmed (or at least they are showing it as a prototype)

Pic borrowed from the pink site
31fc0f259a3010a5c8e6fdefeb87daef 0.jpg?VersionId=lGN4DkcPvBlrXuWQyrrvAgKOsQ6Y

TEAMROBOT wrote:
I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add...

I can't figure out why anyone making an inverted fork in 2025, especially a single crown inverted fork, wouldn't use the Manitou hex axle to add torsional stiffness. The patent is expired and it adds almost no weight. I imagine a 15mm hex axle is significantly stiffer in torsion than a round 20mm axle, and doesn't require a new front hub. Especially if you're already doing pinch bolts, you can do it the way the Dorado has been doing it since 2002? It's so simple!

Manitou Axles - S4 Suspension

We'd finally settled on Boost 15mm as a trail bike front hub, and now it's blowing up again. Sigh.

They axle isn't really in torsion though (that would be both legs rotating opposite way around the hub) so I'm not sure how helpful is? A 20mm axle or maybe torque caps are probably the better options out of what already exists

2
4
4/11/2025 6:59pm

Turner back in the FS game?!

IMG 6630 0
17
4/11/2025 7:13pm
There are a few people who I eagerly await pre-season race footage of, top of the list is Loic and based on his recent story I'd...

There are a few people who I eagerly await pre-season race footage of, top of the list is Loic and based on his recent story I'd say we aren't disappointed. New/Raw brake calipers, possibly uncovered rear shock finally, new chainstay, new/kinked seat tube? There's too much and yes I am hoping someone posts the screenshots for me. 

MTBrent wrote:
IMG 6628IMG 6627
chriskief wrote:

Those cranks look very short. Maybe 5DEV?

I don't think the Spesh team leaves that much to chance.

5
monarchmason
Posts
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Location
Nevada City, CA US
4/11/2025 7:18pm
MTBrent wrote:
Turner back in the FS game?!

Turner back in the FS game?!

IMG 6630 0

Essentially an aluminum Pivot frame with hopefully non super boost. If it turns out to be cheaper, they will sell heaps most likely. At least in my thinking

7
4/11/2025 7:31pm
Essentially an aluminum Pivot frame with hopefully non super boost. If it turns out to be cheaper, they will sell heaps most likely. At least in...

Essentially an aluminum Pivot frame with hopefully non super boost. If it turns out to be cheaper, they will sell heaps most likely. At least in my thinking

Definitely a Ti front triangle given the rest of the Turner range. I love DT’s design ethos, so I’m intrigued. 

7
4/11/2025 7:43pm Edited Date/Time 4/11/2025 7:56pm
They axle isn't really in torsion though (that would be both legs rotating opposite way around the hub) so I'm not sure how helpful is? A...

They axle isn't really in torsion though (that would be both legs rotating opposite way around the hub) so I'm not sure how helpful is? A 20mm axle or maybe torque caps are probably the better options out of what already exists

There is a component of torsion and a component of bending. For the wheel be misaligned with the bars/stem, one fork leg has to be angled forward/backward (however you chose to view it) relative to the other. An easy way to visualize this is hold a bar straight out in front of you firmly holding one end with each hand and try and pull one hand down. Then do the same thing but with one hand very loosely holding the bar. It becomes much easier to lower the one hand and the bar will rotate slightly in the hand with a looser grip. 

5
4/11/2025 9:26pm

The big question regarding all these new USD forks is, where are we putting the mudguard?  

6
1
Eae903
Posts
368
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10/20/2023
Location
Laramie, WY US
Fantasy
4/11/2025 9:41pm
Ernst_ wrote:
https://www.megamo.com/de/e-bike/e-mountainbike-fully/reason/reason-crb-01-(26)New XT on this BIke. Bike itself looks interesting- never heard of them.

https://www.megamo.com/de/e-bike/e-mountainbike-fully/reason/reason-crb-01-(26)

grafik 5.png?VersionId=JR42 ySyuaPU8mNpwp3hlIUV

New XT on this BIke. Bike itself looks interesting- never heard of them.

Just the brakes? Any new derailleurs? 

1
4/11/2025 11:14pm

Gotta admit I'm pretty excited to see this upside down fork battle play out, I'm guessing more manufacturers will join the race. Both Fox/Cane Creek protos look dialed, the CC takes the cake with its machined looks but I'd happily ride either.

11
4/11/2025 11:18pm
chriskief wrote:

Those cranks look very short. Maybe 5DEV?

No chance they are 5DEV, Loic wants to get to the end of a run with 2 crank arms!

They dont hold asa back 

11
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