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Image from Nico Vink ig story
We can clearly see the weld seam. And the position of the rear shock is like a TR11, but those are in carbon usually.
The Sentinel was carbon only in the beginning and got an aluminium model for this year.
TR12 was already a bit "unveiled" at the end of the TR11 video from Transition
Regarding the shapes, they could be reusing a standard tubeset if it was a mule. Bird for example used a basically the same tubeset for all full suspension bikes and all sizes. And back in the days Jeff also picked the tubes off the racks at Intense when making prototypes.
Welds are slightly different too.
In the video you can see a transition logo and more proof of no skull on the side.
Source: I own a Canfield.