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jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

5 hours ago
Psst. The most valuable company in the world does this. Nvidia shows its customers a roadmap that stretches years into the future. Vera Rubin, Vera Rubin Ultra, and Feynman have all been announced, taking the company through 2028. Obviously, B2B buyers are different from B2C buyers, and maybe conflating the two is the error here. That said, the more I...

dolface Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/28/2026 3:54pm
@jeff.brines's latest is a (somewhat grim) banger: https://open.substack.com/pub/jeffbrines/p/q2-outdoor-industry-roundup and I encourage y'all to read it. These jumped out at me: "The one thing DJI and the broader Asian push have done better than anyone is move fast and iterate faster, shipping new platforms before the last ones reach dealer floors. You cannot answer that with a committee and a two-year product cycle. The West is not losing because it cannot build. It is losing because it cannot turn fast enough, and the other side keeps accelerating." And "Trek has access to capital and is very large, but if I were...
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jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

21 hours ago
Thx for the share and the catch. I had AI add all the links to the bullets because of course that's far too tedious of a task in 2026. It wasn't supposed to comment though lol!!! Bad robot!

TEAMROBOT Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/26/2026 5:55am
I also read 52 books last year! Well, I didn't exactly read each book all the way through. But I read the title on the spine, and if it sounded promising, I looked at the pictures on the cover and read the rest of the book jacket.
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Rhetti_2_Ride Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/26/2026 5:47am
From the article: He said he's tried to build a culture at Trek that "confronts the brutal facts," moves fast, and always seeks to learn. When people tell him he's wrong, he said, he gets curious. "I'm more interested in how we improve. I'm not interested in proving that we're right." From being on the inside the last few years, one of the biggest problems is that he has surrounded himself with yes men and ignored what the people he employs have suggested across various choices and has done little to show he was responsible for the bad decisions. With...
This forum topic has 5010 replies.

chriskief Liked a reply to forum topic Ridewrap vs. Dyedbro, VHS vs. SHUSH

6/25/2026 9:43am
Clearly this SHUSH product doesn't work great, it failed to keep Ridewrap silent.
This forum topic has 21 replies.

jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/25/2026 5:31am
Yeah, I just read it this morning in full and agree, much better than my initial glance suggested. If anything, it was a bit vanilla but he didn't come off as many CEOs do. What I do wonder though is what is really going through his mind day to day during this trying time for Trek, because I don't think...

Buckets Up Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/25/2026 5:29am
I actually liked the article. Whether any of it’s true or not is a different story, but calling out military spending and Milton Friedman is awesome in my book.
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collinmcballin Liked a reply to forum topic Eurobike 2026

6/24/2026 2:30pm
ahh yes.... the universal thumbnail theme over and over haha
This forum topic has 33 replies.

sethimus Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/10/2026 5:28am
We stopped stocking full suspension mountainbikes last year. I'll order them if there is demand for one. Else, it has a motor. We kept low cost hardtails for the youth though.
This forum topic has 5010 replies.

jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 11:33am
Ha! I'll do my best to refrain from using it in the future. To be fair, I have run software teams for long enough the idea of "agile" was always around me. When talking about businesses, it is something I think about with respect to the David vs Goliath situations, but I can find other words!! Good call out.

pamtbr Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 8:17am
Jeff will know way more on the topic; however, Strava is reportedly doing about $415 million in revenue on 4-5 million subscribers (~180 million users, 50/60 active). I don't think they disclose real numbers of subs or a split of where revenue truly comes from. As always, if it is free, you are the product, so your mid-pack data, and everyone else who tracks any activity when their butt is off the couch, is clearly the valuable part. Enthusiast super users be damned. I did see that the number one tracker used with Strava is an Apple watch. That tells...
This forum topic has 5010 replies.

jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 8:17am
For sure take my paid subscriber metric with a massive grain of salt. I have seen all sorts of numbers thrown around and genuinely don't know. I know its a single digit percentage of their actual user base, which illustrates just how hard it is to get someone to pay for something in the consumer app ecosystem.

iceman2058 Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 8:12am
When you do, please create a version for highly illegal racing of cars on the road. I need some segments on the canyon twisties around me to irresponsibly try and beat please. The top award would be "KOR" "king of the road" - although that sounds a bit Scania truck like. Maybe "douche of the road" could work LOL. You'll probably need to host this one in Moldavia or something. :-) Strava could turn this on so easily, but imagine the lawsuits.
This forum topic has 5010 replies.

dolface Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 8:11am
"It lets the little guy feel less like a peon and more like Iron Man. I can chase ideas that are genuinely huge and use AI to be more agile than Strava and all their layers of middle management could ever be. We could be razor sharp on the sports we actually care about, and be okay with something smaller because I don't have a team of 1,000 people to support. This change should let us atomize software at a higher level - IE, go after ideas with lower levels of revenue because our opex is also lower." This is...
This forum topic has 5010 replies.

jeff.brines Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

6/9/2026 6:53am
We'll get a lot more information on Strava in the latter half of 2026 being they've already filed their S-1 to go public (confidentially), but their success doesn't shock me, network effects are powerful (and hard to beat). For those who don't know what an S-1 is, it serves a number of purposes, most importantly (for us) forcing disclosure about...