Recent Activity

All

crunat Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

4/13/2026 10:21am
I’ve said it a couple times so apologies if it’s a broken record . The problem for me isn’t 150nm, or 1500watts. It’s 800% assist . Humans fundamentally make different choices when things are easy vs. hard . I can maybe go 20mph uphill on a trail on my meat bike , but only for an instant, then I’m gassed . So I never do that . When there’s suddenly no disincentive (it being exhausting) the total time spent of people going 20mph on blind single track is going to be much higher, thus the probability of isssue increases. At...
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

4/6/2026 9:13pm
I saw it mentioned elsewhere by a brand representative that the major growth area was in their adventure moto gear. It's all relatively high ticket, and the one segment of moto that is very strong these days.

Primoz Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

3/1/2026 6:38pm
Thanks for the background. Imagining composites companies venturing towards motorsports, especially if they can get some kind of a foot in the door, is not hard. I'd be wiling to bet the margins are a lot better than they are in the bike world...
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

jeff.brines Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

3/1/2026 5:15am
A bit delayed, but you can find my analysis of Fox's Q4 results here. Outside the obvious, the big news is the moderate amounts of restructuring the brand is undertaking.
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

LTrumpore Liked a reply to forum topic What happened to World enduro?

2/28/2026 5:43am
As someone who was there from the very beginning (okay EWS #2), I think the story arc of EWS/EDR is a bit more complex that people think, and that Chis Ball is not the boogie man some make him out to be. EWS was not just Chis Ball, it was a run by a board, with Chis as the most public facing member of the organization. Keep in mind that in 2013 enduro racing was seen as an exciting new sport (yes I know, it wasn't new in France and Italy) and the timing was perfect with new wheel sizes...
This forum topic has 38 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/28/2026 4:05am
Here's a rough idea. I'm sure there are some details missing, and despite my best efforts, this rabbit hole has some twists. So you have Mark Hancock, co-founder of PACS Group, owner of 323 skilled nursing facilities in 17 states. Current net worth estimated at $2.4 billion. PACS went public on the NYSE in 2024 at $21/share, currently at ~$36.50...

Brian_Peterson Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/27/2026 11:22am
A lot of companies have been trying to absorb as much as possible regarding the tariffs to avoid pricing themselves out of the game... But that can only last so long..
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/27/2026 7:09am
“Against this challenging backdrop, our bike business ended fiscal 2025 slightly above 2024 in an industry experiencing turbulence and challenges across many of our OEM customers. We have the financial strength to lead with our brands and a discipline to protect our margin structure while the industry works through its cycle.” In a recap, Dennison stated, “We are not counting...

jeff.brines Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/27/2026 7:03am
Fox Factory reported earnings this evening. I'll do a deep dive post later, but here are a few takeaways. Q4 Results - Came in about as expected (overall). 2026 Guidance - Lighter than expected, but there are talks of divesting in certain assets (like Marucci) SSG (the unit bike components live in) lagged about 5% in year over year sales. Management described bike as "slowly stabilizing" but explicitly acknowledged "disruptive market entrants" forcing legacy brands to "consolidate or cease operations". Maybe they have caught onto this thread? Lol. Stock is flat in post market trading, down 4% prior to the...
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

Digit Bikes Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/25/2026 8:21pm
$6,666 x 15% = $1,000. i.e. at the low range what was $6,666 became $7,666. $1,538 x (15% + 50%) = $1,000. i.e. at the high range what was $1,538 became $2,538. Many, perhaps most businesses operate by borrowing money, converting it into products, selling those products at a gross profit, using that to pay interest, salaries, leases and other overheads, and then hopefully leaving a net profit which might be reinvested (or be the reward of capitalism, but the reward hasn't existed in the bike industry recently, it's been negative). Borrowing 15% more requires paying 15% more interest, which...
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/18/2026 6:37pm
From the Financial Times article: "The US private equity firm said on Wednesday it had agreed to hand its remaining equity stake to the Dutch group’s top-ranking lenders. KKR and the backers of its funds will lose all of the €1.1bn equity cheque they wrote to acquire Accell in 2022, as well as hundreds of millions more that they pumped...

dolface Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/14/2026 8:34am
Apologies if this is too far off topic, but Escape Collective just announced they're now cash-flow neutral (they've been running a deficit since they launched). Pretty impressive when you consider how much high-quality content they put out and and doubly so that it's funded entirely by member subscriptions.
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to Bike wash station

2/12/2026 2:25pm
How DIY are you willing to go? 200-gallon galvanized stock tank (they usually have drain plugs) ~$200, flexible or oval ceiling curtain track ~$150, heavy duty shower curtain or vinyl sheet and install your own grommets ~$100. Assuming you already have water and a drain you can tie in to.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/7/2026 3:10am
If you've not heard enough on the topic of YT, Sam Nicols (Former CEO) was recently on The Business of Cycling podcast. It was a little different feel and far less detailed than @jeff.brines Vital interview. Speaking of, I don't think he mentioned it here, or I missed it somewhere in the 140 pages, but Jeff was on the pod...

grumpygears Liked a reply to forum topic The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

2/7/2026 2:57am
Yeah communication is key. Many shops are smaller crews but having a competent service writer would be huge for most shops. I always found that taking the time to measure chain wear/rotor thickness/pad thickness in front of customers did a few things. 1. It shows you are measuring and not guessing which helps build trust 2. It gives you the time to explain why these things wear and how they affect performance, which again helps build trust. If a customer sees you do a a check over I always found they are more likely to trust your assessments in the...
This forum topic has 4515 replies.

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

1/30/2026 5:36am
RE: Trek, the owned retail is a massive problem. I know that Trek owned stores in the EU numbered 32 in 2021, 62 in 2022, was planned for 112 by end of '23, 162 by end of '24, and 212 by end of '25. I don't know how many they actually acquired or opened, or how many remain open. I...

pamtbr Added a reply to The Bikeconomics (Mega)Thread

1/30/2026 5:21am
I don't disagree, but marketing expenses are still expected to show a positive return over time. With the way the XC & DH are hosted there, I think it will always be a difficult proposition. It takes a solid 30-40 mins to drive between the venues. There is talk of bidding on another Placid Olympics, and I'm sure that will...