Will more companies be shutting down in the next 12-24 months?

Sesame Seed
Posts
204
Joined
6/25/2014
Location
Farmington, CT US
Fantasy
2414th
6/1/2024 12:43pm Edited Date/Time 6/1/2024 12:44pm
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Pinkbike?  The site from which the full news was learned??

Sure - Specialized is buying Norco.  ...more than likely - if anything just for teh interwebz - (insert last-name-only) from Norco may have peered over the fence at how Specialized / Merida concept functions for what it is - something off of mainland China and away from compaction of Chinese grey-market goodies. 

...but nah... tossing around strangers last names w/ half baked ideas seems much more plausible.  

  

2
7
earleb
Posts
167
Joined
3/23/2023
Location
North Vancouver, BC CA
Fantasy
225th
6/1/2024 2:43pm

The Sinyard Norco thing was a joke. The Norco North Shore shop posted a photo of Sinyard visiting the shop. Kinda odd that Sinyard would be out visiting local shops here on the Shore, but who knows. 

1
1
Sesame Seed
Posts
204
Joined
6/25/2014
Location
Farmington, CT US
Fantasy
2414th
6/1/2024 3:23pm Edited Date/Time 6/1/2024 3:23pm
earleb wrote:
The Sinyard Norco thing was a joke. The Norco North Shore shop posted a photo of Sinyard visiting the shop. Kinda odd that Sinyard would be...

The Sinyard Norco thing was a joke. The Norco North Shore shop posted a photo of Sinyard visiting the shop. Kinda odd that Sinyard would be out visiting local shops here on the Shore, but who knows. 

My Cat's name is Mittens.  

3
2
6/3/2024 6:49am
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Not one I would have seen coming, but it makes sense for Specialized.. Hire him and he doesn't end up with the competition..

1
motomike
Posts
74
Joined
10/12/2009
Location
Linville, NC US
Fantasy
1806th
6/3/2024 6:54am Edited Date/Time 6/3/2024 7:04am
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Not one I would have seen coming, but it makes sense for Specialized.. Hire him and he doesn't end up with the competition..

I remember hearing him talk of some “new ebike technology” a year or so ago after he left SC.  Hmm 🧐 

Edit: found it.  “As far as bike-related things, yeah, there are a few projects I'm working on. I can't say anything at this point but if we get what we need to get done in the next few months, it'll be a few years, or it should be a little less than that before it would come out but it's a game changer. I'll leave it at that.” -Rob

https://m.pinkbike.com/news/rob-roskopp-on-skateboarding-the-syndicate-…

3
PisgahGnar
Posts
228
Joined
6/30/2021
Location
Hendersonville, NC US
Fantasy
1724th
6/3/2024 7:24am Edited Date/Time 6/3/2024 7:25am
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Not one I would have seen coming, but it makes sense for Specialized.. Hire him and he doesn't end up with the competition..

motomike wrote:
I remember hearing him talk of some “new ebike technology” a year or so ago after he left SC.  Hmm 🧐  Edit: found it.  “As far...

I remember hearing him talk of some “new ebike technology” a year or so ago after he left SC.  Hmm 🧐 

Edit: found it.  “As far as bike-related things, yeah, there are a few projects I'm working on. I can't say anything at this point but if we get what we need to get done in the next few months, it'll be a few years, or it should be a little less than that before it would come out but it's a game changer. I'll leave it at that.” -Rob

https://m.pinkbike.com/news/rob-roskopp-on-skateboarding-the-syndicate-…

A Levy interview 😢

5
dolface
Posts
1230
Joined
10/26/2015
Location
CA US
Fantasy
610th
6/3/2024 8:12am Edited Date/Time 6/3/2024 8:20am
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Not one I would have seen coming, but it makes sense for Specialized.. Hire him and he doesn't end up with the competition..

I wonder if the (seemingly) acrimonious split from Pon played into it in any way...

1
6/3/2024 9:06am

My speculation would be the ebike thing may have stalled out.. I'm don't know if how things ended with Pon played into this, but with other things in that interview, I'm guessing that he wasn't ready to just retire and when this opportunity came up to still be involved,  but not necessarily on a day to day level,  he took it..

2
Mwood
Posts
105
Joined
8/19/2009
Location
Bay Area, CA US
Fantasy
2898th
6/3/2024 11:07am

Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check. This is what people do once they sell their company.  Both Big S and Rob are smart and this makes a ton of sense. 

5
TEAMROBOT
Posts
743
Joined
9/2/2009
Location
Los Angeles, CA US
Fantasy
371st
6/3/2024 12:03pm
Mwood wrote:
Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check...

Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check. This is what people do once they sell their company.  Both Big S and Rob are smart and this makes a ton of sense. 

I haven't managed a brand for 30 years, but I feel like I would be great in that role.

16
LePigPen
Posts
381
Joined
12/23/2020
Location
Harbor City, CA US
Fantasy
151st
6/3/2024 12:13pm

If hired for the role of product advisor at Kona, I promise to bring back a bike with 420mm chainstays, 26 inch wheels, and rasta colorway. For the culture.

8
All-MTN-MTB
Posts
127
Joined
3/1/2023
Location
Boulder, CO US
6/3/2024 1:52pm
Mwood wrote:
Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check...

Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check. This is what people do once they sell their company.  Both Big S and Rob are smart and this makes a ton of sense. 

He’ll also sell a ton of levos to well-off gen X’ers in California that grew up skateboarding. I guess they might already have that market cornered, but it can’t hurt. 

2
Mwood
Posts
105
Joined
8/19/2009
Location
Bay Area, CA US
Fantasy
2898th
6/3/2024 3:46pm
Mwood wrote:
Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check...

Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check. This is what people do once they sell their company.  Both Big S and Rob are smart and this makes a ton of sense. 

TEAMROBOT wrote:

I haven't managed a brand for 30 years, but I feel like I would be great in that role.

Well you got the 2nd part of that down real good, and part 1 too for that matter. I would put you on my fantasy bike company board for sure. 

3
6/4/2024 7:34am
Mwood wrote:
Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check...

Yall he is in an advisory role... aka get's to ride all the stuff, tell folks they dumb for XYZ, all while taking home a check. This is what people do once they sell their company.  Both Big S and Rob are smart and this makes a ton of sense. 

TEAMROBOT wrote:

I haven't managed a brand for 30 years, but I feel like I would be great in that role.

I had a forced retirement not long ago... If you get on as a brand manager,  keep me in mind.. 😆 

1
tybez
Posts
11
Joined
4/12/2024
Location
Jacksonville, FL US
7/17/2024 10:29am

I read that several shipping companies have shut down or closed some of their businesses. Did anyone notice it?

1
andjo
Posts
11
Joined
11/14/2023
Location
Montreal, QC CA
7/17/2024 10:34am Edited Date/Time 7/18/2024 10:36am

I also heard that several shipping companies have already filed for bankruptcy this year. But it has to be nothed that bankruptcy is often a last resort for logistics companies having financial difficulties, and in some cases, downsizing operations without filing bankruptcy can be a remedy for solving problems with high costs and expenses. So, it seems that some of them will be able to remain in the market. I often use lugless and I hope it will survive. 

1
bizutch
Posts
1105
Joined
8/1/2009
Location
Fletcher, NC US
Fantasy
684th
7/18/2024 11:47am
earleb wrote:
Roskopp joins Special Ed.   Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?   Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco...

Roskopp joins Special Ed.

 

Who had that on their bike industry apocalypse bingo card?

 

Other strange news, Sinyard was spotted at the local Norco factory store here on the Shore. Specialized to buy Norco?

Maybe.  They just completely backed out of Western North Carolina and Pisgah by selling all of the shops that they force purchased from multiple mom & pop owners.
They bought Motion Makers in Sylva, Cherokee & Asheville & Sycamore Cycles in Hendersonville and Brevard.
Then they almost immediately shuttered the Cherokee location.
Now they've sold the 4 remaining bike Specialized owned bike shops back to private owners, apparently all 4 to PeachTree out of Georgia.
When you went in any of those remaining stores while S still owned them, you should have seen the misery on their faces.

4
sspomer
Posts
4883
Joined
6/26/2009
Location
Boise, ID US
Fantasy
66th
8/2/2024 7:59am

Troy Lee Buys Troy Lee Designs back from previous investor - from Vital MX

----------------

Troy Lee has purchased his company, Troy Lee Designs, back, marking a poignant moment in the off-road industry. The following press release, received from Troy Lee Designs, explains the decision and transition.

Corona, California, July 31, 2024 – Troy Lee Designs is excited to announce a significant evolution in its ownership structure, moving forward as an independent company. This pivotal shift, by founder Troy Lee, backed by a world-class American family, marks a new chapter for the iconic brand. 

With this new ownership status, Troy Lee Designs is set to channel its renewed energy into the Fall 2024 season and beyond. The company is committed to securing prominent positions in the bike and motocross helmet and technical apparel markets. Enhanced investments will enable Troy Lee Designs to deliver exceptional products, including helmets, technical gear, protection, and sportswear, to our valued dealers, distributors, consumers, and enthusiasts.

Troy Lee, the visionary founder and namesake, will continue to play a crucial role as the Chairman, strategic brand advisor, and inspirational leader of the renowned paint shop. "I'm incredibly passionate about our brand and our future. With strong leadership and dedicated partners, I'm stoked for what’s ahead. Peace & Wheelies!" – Troy Lee

Jon-Erik Burleson, CEO of Troy Lee Designs, expressed his enthusiasm: "Over the past nine months, with the invaluable support of 2 Ride, we have built a robust platform. As an independent company, we are now equipped to grow and unlock the full potential of the premium brand that Troy Lee Designs is destined to be."

A statement from 2 Ride Group: "2 Ride Group is very pleased to see Troy Lee Designs coming back to its iconic founder. The brand's return to independence should give it the agility it needs to strengthen its market positioning with an 'Art & Speed' approach. We wish them the greatest success!"

During the transition, Troy Lee Designs will assist 2 Ride Group portfolio brands with distribution across North America.

Troy Lee Designs is renowned for its quality and excellence in helmets, technical gear, protection, and sportswear. Originally celebrated for its unique helmet designs for top racers, the brand is distinguished by its unparalleled artistry, inspired by its famous paint shop, and reflected in its helmet and gear designs.

6
veefour
Posts
556
Joined
7/31/2016
Location
Cinderford GB
Fantasy
268th
8/2/2024 8:36am Edited Date/Time 8/2/2024 8:37am

I'm intrigued to know what the definition of a "world class family" is.

4
bizutch
Posts
1105
Joined
8/1/2009
Location
Fletcher, NC US
Fantasy
684th
8/2/2024 9:34am
veefour wrote:

I'm intrigued to know what the definition of a "world class family" is.

Just a guess, but rumour of TLD/GasGas ending means maybe the company backing the team & carrying a large part fo the TLD ownership interest decided to back out of sponsorship and at the same time sell back majority interest to Troy as opposed to draining the team, vanishing in thin air and strong arming Troy out?

2
Stewyeww
Posts
202
Joined
6/10/2021
Location
CA
8/2/2024 9:59am
veefour wrote:

I'm intrigued to know what the definition of a "world class family" is.

I think it's marketing talk for 'very bland investment group'

6
All-MTN-MTB
Posts
127
Joined
3/1/2023
Location
Boulder, CO US
8/2/2024 2:12pm
veefour wrote:

I'm intrigued to know what the definition of a "world class family" is.

bizutch wrote:
Just a guess, but rumour of TLD/GasGas ending means maybe the company backing the team & carrying a large part fo the TLD ownership interest decided...

Just a guess, but rumour of TLD/GasGas ending means maybe the company backing the team & carrying a large part fo the TLD ownership interest decided to back out of sponsorship and at the same time sell back majority interest to Troy as opposed to draining the team, vanishing in thin air and strong arming Troy out?

The race team is a separate business entity from the gear business. Troy always retained ownership of the race team from my understanding. My guess is the company that bought equity in the gear business was interested in selling it and Troy had the opportunity to buy it back for a fraction of the price that he originally sold it at. Seems to be a common theme across sporting goods and outdoor brands at the moment if that’s the case. 

3
jeff.brines
Posts
890
Joined
8/29/2010
Location
Grand Junction, CO US
8/4/2024 7:06am Edited Date/Time 8/4/2024 10:35am
veefour wrote:

I'm intrigued to know what the definition of a "world class family" is.

My guess is "world class family" is synonymous with "single family office". What is a family office you ask? It simply means there is formalized central management of a highly wealthy family that actually employees people (sometimes like me) to help allocate their capital against the backdrop of the family's financial goals, estate planning, tax planning, philanthropic planning etc. To be clear, most family offices start around $100M and go up from there. 

While there is a lot of variance as to how these family offices operate, they often act in the marketplace similar to a hedge fund or private equity fund, meaning they are equipped to directly buy stakes in companies like a PE/VC fund and/or deploy complex equities portfolio management practices that are akin to a hedge fund. Moreover, they have the capital to be a formidable player in whatever space they are operating. To be clear, this doesn't mean FOs are always out there actively managing capital in this manner. Most are going to deploy large amounts of capital into a high number of private funds, indices, ETFs, real estate holdings etc. but they always have the ability to go on the offensive and buy a business, back a founder and/or manage their own portfolio of equities/bonds. The big delineator is they are not allowed to take on capital from outside sources (its all family money, their buddies can't give them their money to manage, too - totally different legal structure/regs in that case). 

TL;DR - I am speculating but based on this PR Troy didn't personally buy this asset back. A family office bought it and wanted to leverage Troy's "social capital" in the space. I'm sure there is upside for Troy himself, to be fair, but if we were to unravel the (private) deal details, I'm highly doubtful this looks like "troy just bought his business back". 

Now, the bigger trend in the space are all those with cash on hand going deal shopping. Multiples have contracted on top every company in the outdoor industry coming off "worst" type of years with a number facing a liquidity crisis (point of this thread!). This means its basement level pricing (last years revs/net profit/ebita is low + the multiple is lower relative to the last 10+ years). Blood is in the water and sharks are hunting. Ironically, its still the bike industry so hardly some money printing machine, but interesting to a guy like me nonetheless. 

9
8/4/2024 12:05pm

Never thought I'd see a discussion of single family offices on Vital.

I'm not in finance, but I watch the money-management side of family offices from a nearby professional perch.  If an owner is going to sell their business, often the best outcome for the employees and customers of that business is a sale to a large, well-established SFO.  It avoids many of downsides to hedge funds and private equity, of which there are legion. 

A large, well-established SFO that has survived past the death of generation that was running the show when the liquidity-event occurred and has outside (nonfamily) management is often not looking to make money by selling the business in 5-10 years.  They are operating a long-term time horizon and trying to make money by actually running the business well.  And they are generally pretty good at it.

There is not a lot of information on PON (Santa Cruz and OneUp), but PON seems to be such a SFO.  This is why it is highly unlikely PON f*cks it up with SC and Rob owns the company again in 5-10 years.  But . . . 

SC never abandoned the threaded BB, held out for a decent bit on routing the brake hose internally, and was one of the first to make bikes without a front derailleur.  I'd wager those decisions didn't involve spreadsheets or people in Midtown Uniforms.  But now that PON owns SC, decisions on things like whether to offer cable routing are much more likely to be made based on spreadsheets and financial metrics.

4
jeff.brines
Posts
890
Joined
8/29/2010
Location
Grand Junction, CO US
8/4/2024 1:09pm
Never thought I'd see a discussion of single family offices on Vital.I'm not in finance, but I watch the money-management side of family offices from a...

Never thought I'd see a discussion of single family offices on Vital.

I'm not in finance, but I watch the money-management side of family offices from a nearby professional perch.  If an owner is going to sell their business, often the best outcome for the employees and customers of that business is a sale to a large, well-established SFO.  It avoids many of downsides to hedge funds and private equity, of which there are legion. 

A large, well-established SFO that has survived past the death of generation that was running the show when the liquidity-event occurred and has outside (nonfamily) management is often not looking to make money by selling the business in 5-10 years.  They are operating a long-term time horizon and trying to make money by actually running the business well.  And they are generally pretty good at it.

There is not a lot of information on PON (Santa Cruz and OneUp), but PON seems to be such a SFO.  This is why it is highly unlikely PON f*cks it up with SC and Rob owns the company again in 5-10 years.  But . . . 

SC never abandoned the threaded BB, held out for a decent bit on routing the brake hose internally, and was one of the first to make bikes without a front derailleur.  I'd wager those decisions didn't involve spreadsheets or people in Midtown Uniforms.  But now that PON owns SC, decisions on things like whether to offer cable routing are much more likely to be made based on spreadsheets and financial metrics.

100% agree - SFOs are often (but not always) awesome for the longevity, durability and overall path of a company. Many of the perverse incentives often associated with PE/VC/private funds are absent or at least highly muted. 

2
bizutch
Posts
1105
Joined
8/1/2009
Location
Fletcher, NC US
Fantasy
684th
8/4/2024 7:06pm

Any of this fire sale stuff affecting bike media outlets the way Donut Media and others are being affected by purchase from outside investors? The Pepto Bismol site sure…but any others getting “purchased “ ?

1

Post a reply to: Will more companies be shutting down in the next 12-24 months?

The Latest