MTB Tech Rumors and Innovation

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Uncle Cliffy
Posts
281
Joined
3/11/2010
Location
Medford, OR US
7/24/2024 8:50am
veefour wrote:

I'm not anti innovation, but I am pro choice. Having choices removed is a step backwards IMO. 

That’s just the thing though. These bigger companies don’t want you to have a choice. I figured most of us would’ve accepted that by now.

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ebruner
Posts
101
Joined
3/29/2018
Location
Tustin, CA US
7/24/2024 9:31am Edited Date/Time 7/24/2024 9:37am

Re: wireless only frames... as with everything in life the answer is likely it's a bit of everything.  Innovation slowing in areas like geo, suspension and overall product improvement from generation to generation lead to looking for notable and small gains.  Wireless shifting is likely one place where brands feel that they can offer something different and new to people that have bikes that don't have it... ie sell bikes.  

There is likely a bunch of other small influencers to this.  MFG cost, assembly cost, design cost, overall bike prices being so high that an extra 200-300 usd for an electronic drivetrain is an easy extension.  

One thing I was considering the other night, is how the sales data at each tier/part of this industry is aggregated and viewed.  The IBD's see the front lines this or that decisions and get feedback from the end consumer on if this decision is driving or breaking sales.  The mfg's likely have a mixed level of insight to that depending on how much they communicate or have a pipeline with the IBDs on what's happening on the ground.  My hunch, is that the bulk of their decision making is based off of their own ship/ibd volume.  To that end, the ibd's are likely placing their orders with the mid/higher tier builds and mfg's data is pointing to electronic drivetrains outselling the mechanical drivetrains.

For example, in discussing something similar to this with my LBS owner on a ride, he mentioned that he tries his best to only stock the floor with bikes that have performance elite level suspension (equivalent) or better.  Stating that he feels that's a better value proposition for the consumer, but also those bikes sell faster based on his data.  That, by extension, means electronic drivetrains are the majority of those sales at this moment because of the product manager/mfg spec.  

You know what would be rad?  Bikes with electronic shifting as shipped from the MFG, but with provisions for external cable routing.  Let's face it, most of the stalwarts at this point that don't want electronic shifting, also likely would prefer service and function over form and would want external brake and routing anyway.  At least, I think that would be rad.  

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7/24/2024 11:10am
veefour wrote:

I'm not anti innovation, but I am pro choice. Having choices removed is a step backwards IMO. 

Pro choice ended a couple years ago 

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4
7/24/2024 11:12am

Am I the only one who thinks the empty holes for cable housing on wireless equipped bikes looks rad? (FWIW, I don't think Jeeps with the doors missing look rad lol)

I'm totally fine with wireless drivetrains if they can make it cost $200 like my 11sp Deore. I don't break derailleurs too often, but when I do I really love that they're $45 from my local shop and even cheaper (around $30) grey market. I just don't think I'd hang $100+ from the most vulnerable part of my bike. That money is better spent on literally any other component of the bike imo.

Sad to hear the news about SC going wireless only. Guess this 5010 (my favorite bike I've ever owned) will be my first and last SC. (Again, unless Shimano pulls some wizardry and gets their Deore wireless derailleur under $100)

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2
Baret
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4
Joined
10/24/2022
Location
COLORADO SPRINGS, CO US
7/24/2024 12:33pm

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

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21
NicoZesty96
Posts
395
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8/21/2014
Location
portogruaro, VE IT
7/24/2024 12:38pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

contrary, it would be the first thing on marketplace, old cable eagle for the win, tried many of both and old eagle is still the best for me

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2
Jotegr
Posts
146
Joined
6/28/2024
Location
Nakusp, BC CA
7/24/2024 12:46pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

You say that, but I pulled a fresh XT 12 speed drivetrain off a bike a month ago in favour of 10 speed deore link glide. 100% I'd pull transmission too, no doubt in my mind.  

13
7/24/2024 1:02pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

Jotegr wrote:
You say that, but I pulled a fresh XT 12 speed drivetrain off a bike a month ago in favour of 10 speed deore link glide...

You say that, but I pulled a fresh XT 12 speed drivetrain off a bike a month ago in favour of 10 speed deore link glide. 100% I'd pull transmission too, no doubt in my mind.  

I've done the same - 12S XT to an XT/Deore based, 10S linkglide mix. 

6
Dogboy
Posts
43
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4/12/2011
Location
Chapel Hill, NC US
7/24/2024 1:47pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

Got a new bike with GX Transmission and immediately pulled it off and replaced it with 12-speed Shimano Deore XT. Thankfully it had ports for the shift cable 😉

7
1
dwhere
Posts
63
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10/5/2023
Location
dirty, DE US
7/24/2024 4:05pm

I love the mechanical nature of my bikes and understanding how it works. It’s some how less appealing to me when it all goes into a little black box.

12
7/24/2024 4:18pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

Assuming people (especially in this forum) don't buy framesets and swap the parts they already have (and love) is silly lol. Last 8 years building from frames only the drivetrain is the ONE component that has been able to transfer from bike to bike. That's why this feels like a step back. Pay $500-$1000 more for the frame and now you've gotta open your wallet again and drop another rack on a wireless drivetrain that I'm sure is nice, but I can (and will) live without.

7
metadave
Posts
1033
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2/15/2016
Location
CA
7/24/2024 4:21pm
Baret wrote:
This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to...

This wireless drivetrain debate is silly, when your new bike comes with transmission (which it likely will) I very much doubt you will be clamoring to get something cable actuated.   

Jotegr wrote:
You say that, but I pulled a fresh XT 12 speed drivetrain off a bike a month ago in favour of 10 speed deore link glide...

You say that, but I pulled a fresh XT 12 speed drivetrain off a bike a month ago in favour of 10 speed deore link glide. 100% I'd pull transmission too, no doubt in my mind.  

I've done the same - 12S XT to an XT/Deore based, 10S linkglide mix. 

Link glide/Cues is down right amazing and the cost of the groups is less than a transmission derailleur. We were having issues with someone blasting through cassettes and one bike brand's high torque output skipping under super heavy loads. Linkglide groups solved those and many other issues this year. My Rootdown is getting linkglide this winter for Christmas so I never have to worry about it again.

9
earleb
Posts
172
Joined
3/23/2023
Location
North Vancouver, BC CA
7/24/2024 4:23pm

What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on cable guides. Remove the Transmission tiny motors and jb weld in some bits n bobs to have it cable actuated. Just a right ugly hack with horrible cable routing and all. 

7
Jotegr
Posts
146
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6/28/2024
Location
Nakusp, BC CA
7/24/2024 4:55pm
earleb wrote:
What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on...

What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on cable guides. Remove the Transmission tiny motors and jb weld in some bits n bobs to have it cable actuated. Just a right ugly hack with horrible cable routing and all. 

It could be you if you just don't put routing options on your next frame.  

2
earleb
Posts
172
Joined
3/23/2023
Location
North Vancouver, BC CA
7/24/2024 5:00pm
earleb wrote:
What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on...

What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on cable guides. Remove the Transmission tiny motors and jb weld in some bits n bobs to have it cable actuated. Just a right ugly hack with horrible cable routing and all. 

Jotegr wrote:

It could be you if you just don't put routing options on your next frame.  

Been there done that. My first full suspension frame I built back in 2014 I used electrical tape for the cables on the front triangle. The frame did last year I just had zipties. We need someone to commit to just electrical taping on cables on a new S-Works Stumpy. 

2
kingsleyrh
Posts
5
Joined
7/23/2024
Location
Hastings NZ
7/24/2024 9:08pm

Can anyone disclose the release date for the Specialized Stumpy 15 Alloy?

4
7/24/2024 9:12pm
earleb wrote:
What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on...

What we really need is someone to buy a wireless frame and a Transmission drivetrain then mod it all to run on cables. External glued on cable guides. Remove the Transmission tiny motors and jb weld in some bits n bobs to have it cable actuated. Just a right ugly hack with horrible cable routing and all. 

Should definitely route through the headset, heard it looks best that way

3
Zuestman
Posts
160
Joined
10/27/2014
Location
Seattle, WA US
7/24/2024 9:16pm

Let’s get this back on track. Seen at whistlertIMG 3646 0

41
boozed
Posts
328
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6/11/2019
Location
AU
7/24/2024 9:35pm
Zuestman wrote:
Let’s get this back on track. Seen at whistlert

Let’s get this back on track. Seen at whistlertIMG 3646 0

That's a Ransom

7
Primoz
Posts
3661
Joined
8/1/2009
Location
SI
7/24/2024 11:37pm

As has been mentioned in this topic before, we are not the average customer. Just the other day, mentioning the wireless only Santa Cruz rumor to a friend of mine in the gym, another guy overheard us (a Santa Cruz ebike rider) and instantly commented how awesome his GX Eagle AXS is. And he's far from the only one giving out comments like that. 

People like gimmicks overall, they like things that are "better". QED the love for the punching of the AXS derailleurs bad the clutch action of the mechanism. While I had to basically spell out multiple times here that it's nothing special compared to cable actuated drivetrains, except it being a necessity and, at the bottom line, a complication to make it work. But that's how it goes in this world... 

Now, back to rumors. 

12
fartsack
Posts
92
Joined
10/13/2021
Location
咸興市 KP
7/25/2024 1:42am

lol @the Slash+ Ad on pinkbike that leads on a 404. I guess the ad team got the timing wrong (or treks web team)

4
1
Splayleg
Posts
69
Joined
2/9/2017
Location
Los Gatos, CA US
7/25/2024 6:02am

How about an eMTB Tech Rumors and Innovation  thread stickied to the top to discuss batteries and motors? 

19
5
7/25/2024 7:18am
Primoz wrote:

Isn't it slx being dropped, but xt, staying? So xtr, xt, deore? 

slimshady wrote:

Exactly. They will all be 13-speed, wireless, with just Deore offering a cable, 12-speed version.

Any other insight here? Will they be direct mount? Will they feature the battery-less shifter outlined in one of Shimanos patents? https://wheelbased.com/2021/12/16/operating-device-battery-less-wireles…

4
Suns_PSD
Posts
198
Joined
10/7/2015
Location
Austin, TX US
7/25/2024 7:47am Edited Date/Time 7/25/2024 7:48am

I spent a day on Transmission on a rented bike the other day and it did shift impressively.

Still, I remain a bit of a caveman and as such I prefer X01 11 speed on my Relay (all steel cassette, light, cheap, great shifting) and an XTR 11 speed on my Smuggler.

It's not a money issue though. It's ground clearance and weight which notably effects rear suspension performance. But also, my previous AXS ruined 2-3 rides due to battery issues and losing a day of riding to have a .1% cleaner shift, is not a tradeoff I want to ever make again.

 

Regarding the new SJ, I'm sure it's a rocket. But for my tastes it has several geo issues plus the lack of the cabled shifting, makes it a total deal killer for my tastes.

9
7/25/2024 7:58am
Primoz wrote:
As has been mentioned in this topic before, we are not the average customer. Just the other day, mentioning the wireless only Santa Cruz rumor to...

As has been mentioned in this topic before, we are not the average customer. Just the other day, mentioning the wireless only Santa Cruz rumor to a friend of mine in the gym, another guy overheard us (a Santa Cruz ebike rider) and instantly commented how awesome his GX Eagle AXS is. And he's far from the only one giving out comments like that. 

People like gimmicks overall, they like things that are "better". QED the love for the punching of the AXS derailleurs bad the clutch action of the mechanism. While I had to basically spell out multiple times here that it's nothing special compared to cable actuated drivetrains, except it being a necessity and, at the bottom line, a complication to make it work. But that's how it goes in this world... 

Now, back to rumors. 

It's almost like people form and have their own opinions based on their experience 

7

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